2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season: An Above-Average Threat to Coastal Residents

Above-Average Hurricane Activity Predicted for 2021

The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be more active than usual, according to a recent update from Colorado State University (CSU) hurricane researchers. The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project team, led by Dr. Phil Klotzbach, forecasts 18 named storms this season, up from the 17 predicted in the previous forecast. Of these, eight are expected to become hurricanes, with four potentially reaching major status (Category 3, 4, or 5).

Increased Risk of Major Hurricane Landfall in the U.S.

The probability of a major hurricane making landfall in the U.S. is estimated to be about 135 percent of the long-period average. This heightened risk follows a record-breaking 2020 hurricane season, which saw 30 named storms, 13 hurricanes, and six major hurricanes. The average hurricane season typically sees 12 named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.

Preparing for an Active Hurricane Season

Dr. Klotzbach emphasizes that it only takes one storm near you to make it an active season, urging coastal residents to take proper precautions. Historical data shows that even in less active seasons, individual storms can cause significant damage. For instance, Hurricane Andrew in 1992 was a Category 5 hurricane that caused over $26 billion in damage, despite the season producing only seven named storms. As we approach the peak of the hurricane season, now is the time for residents to review their emergency plans and ensure they have adequate insurance coverage.