2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season: A Forecast of Above-Average Activity and Preparedness Tips

Introduction to the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season

The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be significantly more active than average, according to an updated forecast from Dr. Phil Klotzbach, an atmospheric scientist at Colorado State University (CSU). The forecast predicts 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, which are defined as Category 3, 4, and 5 storms with wind speeds of at least 111 miles per hour.

Probabilities of Major Hurricane Landfalls

The forecast also includes probabilities for at least one major hurricane landfall on various coastal areas. For the entire continental U.S. coastline, the probability is 70 percent, compared to the last century's average of 52 percent. The U.S. East Coast, including Peninsula Florida, has a 46 percent chance, and the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville has a 45 percent chance, both higher than their respective century averages of 31 percent and 30 percent.

Preparedness and Public Awareness

Dr. Klotzbach emphasizes the importance of preparedness, noting that even accurate forecasts cannot predict the exact timing or location of storms. He advises the public to assemble a hurricane preparedness kit and review insurance coverage. The National Hurricane Conference provides additional tips, such as taking inventory of personal property, preparing evacuation routes, and ensuring pets are included in evacuation plans.